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Briefing about U.S Economic Condition

April 4, 2016 9:08 pm
  • Gain in S&P500 last week and 6.8% in March.
  • US and China manufacturing data has started improvements.
  • U.S Jobs and housing markets remain strong.
  • China and Europe are starting to handle their economic problems.
  • Recent recovery in crude prices is better for inflation of U.S.
  • WTI and Brent prices to keep failing.
  • Interest rate hike of April off the table.
  • Treasury yields declined to one month lows.
  • Now the 30% chances of a rate hike occurring in June.
  • Weaker dollar will help to improve the Q2 corporate earnings.
  • Yellen stressed rate rises because global developments still down.
  • Overall Fed expect three rate hikes this year.
  • Fed’s Dudley hopeful two rate hikes this year.
  • In fact just one rate hike in this year in September.
  • Current risks lower inflation, lower commodity prices, lower oil prices.
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